TIMA RADAR / cases

EVIDENCE // LIBRARY

Public case files from live operation and the daily self-grading scorecard — built from the unedited track and warning archives, misses and caveats included.

CASE FILE 01 — HAFFORD / LILAC, SASKATCHEWAN2026-07-10
83 min before the warning

Continuous tracking carried a supercell complex at 90–99% signature strength for 83 minutes before Environment Canada's tornado warning for the same corridor — in territory with no NWS coverage at all. Interactive replay of the recorded data, with track fragmentation and pending ground truth disclosed.

Open case file →
CASE FILE 02 — NEW HARMONY / POSEY COUNTY, INDIANA2026-07-11
47–79 min before three warnings

A single unbroken track held the storm at 77–85% ahead of three consecutive radar-indicated NWS tornado warnings — the same rotation physics, measured three-quarters of an hour earlier. Verification pending.

Open case file →
TRACKER SCORECARD — SELF-GRADINGREGENERATED DAILY
Every warning · every track · every miss

Warning-anticipation rates and lead times, false-alarm bands by score, and triage-tier outcomes — recomputed each morning from the raw archives. The unflattering numbers stay on the page; that's the point.

View live scorecard →
Reading these honestly: lead times are stated raw and with the system's measured ~3.2-minute end-to-end MRMS latency subtracted. Scores are radar signature strength, not tornado probability. TIMA holds no warning authority — follow every official NWS and Environment Canada warning regardless of anything shown here.